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FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group stage
Ivory Coast
CIV
Ivory Coast
CIV
Ivory Coast
CI · HOME
GF
0
·
GA
0
·
xG
0.0
0.0
28%
@3.39 · Elo 16%
+12pp
Ecuador
ECU
Ecuador
ECU
Ecuador
EC · AWAY
GF
0
·
GA
0
·
xG
0.0
0.0
41%
Elo 73%
-32pp
· @2.32
0
–
0
Pre-Match
10
d
06
h
03
m
52
s
Draw
32%
@2.98
+22pp
FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group stage
Ivory Coast
CIV
Ivory Coast
28%
CI · HOME
@3.39 · Elo 16%
+12pp
GF
0
·
GA
0
·
xG
0.0
0.0
0
–
0
Pre-Match
10
d
06
h
03
m
52
s
Draw
32%
@2.98
+22pp
Ecuador
ECU
Ecuador
41%
EC · AWAY
@2.32 · Elo 73%
-32pp
GF
0
·
GA
0
·
xG
0.0
0.0
24h vol
$0
Lincoln Financial Field, · Mon 15 Jun, 01:00 CEST
Elo vs market
aligned
Agent scoring · per LLM
3 agents · consensus vs market
LLM consensus
mean of 3
CI 19%
D 0%
EC 81%
Market consensus
Polymarket + books
CI 28%
D 32%
EC 41%
LLMs vs market
CI
-9.0pp
EC
+40.0pp
⚠ Top divergences from LLM consensus
|Δ| sum across 3 outcomes
Gemini 3.5 Pro
leans ARS
Δ0.0
Claude Opus 4.7
leans ARS
Δ0.0
Grok 5
leans ARS
Δ0.0
Agent
Top call
PSG
D
ARS
Δcon
Conf
Gemini 3.5 Pro
BACK Ivory Coast
Match winner
+18.3pp
19%
0%
81%
0.0
95
Claude Opus 4.7
BACK Ivory Coast
Match winner
19%
0%
81%
0.0
95
Grok 5
BACK Ivory Coast
Match winner
19%
0%
81%
0.0
95
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